May 15, 2009 Pimlico / Race Card includes play strengths and dollar values committed to each wager.  Assumes a $300 starting bankroll for the day.  As a disclosure, I am personally only playing the Preakness Stakes.  However, I have handicapped all races at Pimlico for your enjoyment.

Race 1 Chalk is tops in the first race of the day.  Not much value here. Recommended Play: $2 Exacta Box on the 4 / 5 / 8.  Play strength: 1 out of 5.  Bet outlay = $12

LOSS 5-6-8, -$12

Race 2 Chalk again with Sea Chanter as the class of the field.  Recommended Play: #1 Sea Chanter (Even) to WIN.  Play strength: 1 out of 5.  Bet outlay = $10

SCRATCH - NO BET

Race 3 Nice value here in the 3^rd.  Siding with the top closer in the group.  Recommended Play: #2 Pocket Patch 8/1 to SHOW.  Play strength: 3 out of 5.  Bet outlay = $30

RAN 2nd!!  SHOW PAID 4.60, +$39  (running total +27)

Race 4 No idea why the #7 horse is listed with ML odds of 12/1.  My fair value calculation has Advantage @ 6/1.  Recommended Play:  #7 No Advantage 12/1 to SHOW.  Play strength: 1 out of 5.  Bet outlay = $10

RAN 1ST!!!  SHOW PAID $5.80,  +57 (running total +84)

Race 5 Siding with the early speed in this race full of closers.  Recommended play: #6 Tanganyika 20/1 to SHOW.  Play strength 1 out of 5.  Bet outlay = $10

OTM, loss (running total +74)

Race 6 Liking the #11 to run strong at 2/1 odds.  Will try to sprinkle in some value for a nice score.  Recommended plays:  $2 Exacta wheel the 11 over the 2 / 4 / 5 / 6.  $2 Exacta wheel the 2 / 4 / 5 / 6 over the 11.  Play strength: 1 out of 5.  Bet outlays = $16

2 scratched, LOSS -$12, (running total +62)

Race 7 Strong value here in a short field.  Recommended play: #5 Quiet Meadow 10/1 to SHOW.  Play strength 3 out of 5.  Bet outlay = $30

SCRATCHED, no bet, (running total +62)

Race 8 Nice value I think could lead wire to wire.  Recommended play: #8 Checklist 8/1 to SHOW.  Play strength 3 out of 5.  Bet outlay = $30

RAN 3rd!!! SHOW paid $6.00, +60 (running total +122)

Race 9 Sticking with the theme of the day again, inside position with early speed. Recommended play: #1 Heros Image 12/1 to SHOW.  Play strength 3 out of 5.  Bet outlay = $30

SHOW, ran 3rd!!!  SHOW paid 3.80, +$27 (running total +149)

Race 10 Not a typical play for me here, but going to go for a larger payout. Recommended play: $6 Exacta Box the 1 / 2.  Play strength 1 out of 5.  Bet outlay = $12

SCRATCH - NO BET (running total +149)

Race 11 Still avoiding the outside positions but siding with the best closer here. Recommended play: #7 Wesley 8/1 to SHOW.  Play strength 1 out of 5.  Bet outlay = $10

RAN 3rd!!  SHOW Paid 5.40, +17 (running total +166)

Race 12 Preakness Stakes (BEST BETS)  If you followed my Kentucky Derby plays you already know I like Musket Man.  A horse with some great performances in big races already under the belt.  Strategically able to stalk the field and work his way through crowds.  Not going to get the same odds we got at Churchill, but I still believe we are flying under the radar.  Recommended play: #3 Musket Man 8/1 to SHOW.  Bet outlay = $50

In addition to Musket Man, Im going to take another flyer here.  I always favor early speed on the inside rail in these large races.  Crowds can kill a favorites chance in these Triple Crown events and while I love the Philly, I dont like that outside position at all.  Going with the best early speed here at a nice price.  Recommended play: #1 Big Drama 10/1 to SHOW.  Bet outlay = $50

Note:  I have #2 Mine That Bird and #13 Rachel Alexandra in my top 4 as well.

MUSKET MAN RAN 3rd!!  SHOW paid $5.00

Big Drama OTM

+$15 (running total +181), also hit hit the TRIFECTA, but will not count for record purposes.
60% ROI for the day!!! (running total +181)